BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Afton East Union

Class: 1A Class Rank: 129 Conference: (2-14) Overall: (4-18) Overall Strength =   41.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Home    W    44.21  73   49   1A  140 ( 6-15) Diagonal                4.09     19.91                      
  2 11/30/2007 Away    L *  32.65  35   89   2A   32 (22- 3) Nodaway Valley         -7.47 *  -46.53                      
  3 12/04/2007 Home    W *  48.59  46   44   1A  118 ( 6-16) Mount Ayr               8.47     -6.47                      
  4 12/07/2007 Home    L *  24.99  50   81   1A   84 (10-12) Lenox                 -15.13    -15.87                      
  5 12/14/2007 Home    L *  37.56  47   77   2A   74 (21- 2) Corydon Wayne          -2.57 *  -27.43                      
  6 12/18/2007 Home    L *  42.79  39   79   2A   32 (22- 3) Nodaway Valley          2.67 *  -42.67                      
  7 01/04/2008 Away    L *  39.56  56   78   2A  114 (13-10) Leon Central Decatur   -0.56    -21.44                      
  8 01/08/2008 Away    L *  25.75  30   70   2A   99 (12-10) Corning               -14.37 *  -25.63                      
  9 01/10/2008 Home    L    27.71  44   68   1A   98 (18- 4) Murray                -12.41    -11.59                      
 10 01/11/2008 Away    L *  40.05  57   75   1A   88 (13-10) Southeast Warren       -0.07    -17.93                      
 11 01/12/2008 Away    L *  34.75  33   80   1A   12 (24- 2) Bedford                -5.37 *  -41.63  was 12/11 now 01/12 
 12 01/15/2008 Away    L *  37.46  65   78   1A  118 ( 6-16) Mount Ayr              -2.66    -10.34                      
 13 01/22/2008 Away    L *  43.86  50   66   1A   84 (10-12) Lenox                   3.74    -19.74                      
 14 01/25/2008 Home    W *  32.97  86   69   1A  139 ( 1-20) Martensdale M-SM       -7.15 *   24.15                      
 15 01/26/2008 Home    L *  23.18  50   82   2A  113 ( 9-12) Pleasantville         -16.94    -15.06  was 01/18 now maybe 01/26
 16 01/31/2008 Home    L    41.32  40   54   1A   82 ( 6-16) Earlham                 1.20    -15.20                      
 17 02/01/2008 Away    L *  40.34  41   58   2A  120 ( 9-11) Truro Interstate-35     0.22    -17.22                      
 18 02/02/2008 Home    L *  59.88  46   64   1A   12 (24- 2) Bedford                19.76 *  -37.76  was 01/29 now 02/02 
 19 02/08/2008 Home    L *  52.89  60   69   2A   99 (12-10) Corning                12.77    -21.77  was 02/05 now 02/08 
 20 02/11/2008 Away    L    55.92  53   60   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg       15.80    -22.80  was 02/08 now 02/11 
 21 02/14/2008 Home    W    59.16  74   62   1A  104 (14- 6) Lamoni                 19.03     -7.03                      
 22 02/19/2008 Home    L    37.05  28   50   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg       -3.07    -18.93                      
      Averages              40.12  50.1 68.3

Best game:   59.88 = 18 point loss to Bedford
Worst game:  23.18 = 32 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:  10.49